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unclevlad

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Everything posted by unclevlad

  1. I also particularly wonder if Football Outsiders is tossing out clickbait.
  2. California blitzes them...? Because they use about twice the water from the Colorado that Arizona does. And have, what, 5x the population. The Arizona cities have at least started to recognize the issue, tho. https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/phoenix-area-cities-enacting-measures-to-help-conserve-water-amid-drought-heres-what-you-need-to-know It almost certainly won't be enough. The more painful restrictions are probably not more than a few years away. Gotta say: I wouldn't want to be in the lawn business in Nevada or Arizona, and I suspect golfers will be getting squeezed *hard* sooner rather than later.
  3. Thomas also drops too far back to beat Vingegaard, unless V has a REALLY bad day tomorrow or somehow can't finish...but the descents tomorrow were said to be treacherous. And the climbs are quite long. AND it's expected to be H O T !!! Thomas finished over 2 minutes behind both of em...and they both got time bonuses. Pog's up to 3 minutes ahead of Thomas. Flip side: Quintana lost about 90 seconds to Thomas, so he's 3 minutes back. The top 3...and their order...can be pencilled in at this point. Van Aert mathematically clinched green...before the race even finished. After the intermediate sprint, he was well over 200 points ahead...and there were only 200 left. 180 now...3 intermediate sprints @ 20 points each, 1 mountain stage win is another 20, and 2 sprint finishes that are 50 each. You have to figure with the green in the bag, and VERY likely the yellow in the bag barring a disaster...Jumbo-Visma is probably going to play tomorrow, the only really dangerous stage left, quite cautiously. They'll ignore any breakaway completely, unless someone in the top 8's involved. From Quintana (4th) to Vlasov (8th), they'll probably let them have 5 minutes; Quintana's 8 minutes back, and also isn't a top time trial rider. Pog and Vin will watch each other, and keep a weather eye out for Thomas. Vin and J-V won't initiate...but they will have to respond if Pog tries to go. That might be harder tomorrow; McNulty set a record time, apparently, on the 2nd (big) climb and was fast on the last one. It's quite hard to do that 2 days in a row. Pog can't escape Vin on his own; we've seen that now multiple times. But Pog has to try. He got back only 4 seconds...time bonus...today. Friday's basically flat, it's either gonna be a big breakaway with the sprint teams, or a bunch finish...not a race likely to move the GC any notable amount. The time trial could, but probably not 2 full minutes' worth. And then the Champs is a bunch sprint, as there's no competitive riding before getting there. Again, barring crash...no time to be gained. Sometimes I think officials make up rules to try to justify their position. The track rule is...in some ways...similar to basketball's end of game rules. one dribble, then shoot; catch and shoot; can only tip the ball. Those, tho, are needed because the game clock is started by hand, and that has significant variance on this time scale. There's also some parallel, I think, with baseball replay. The high-speed cameras allow hair-splittingly fine timing...it's something you see semi-regularly on plays at first, and it's sharply affected tag plays, when the umps start hunting for "oh, his foot/leg were off the bag in these 3 frames...the tag was still on...OUT!!!" The rule here feels like it's a misuse of the tech, as I think the slide call can be.
  4. Now, here's a more positive story about name and image. https://www.huffpost.com/entry/anthony-richardson-ar15_n_62d53a2be4b0e6fc1a992037 Personally, I'd ask the coach if I could go with a different number as well.
  5. Solar panels help immensely. The best decision I ever made. 10:30 PM here...trash pickup is tomorrow. Lessee...eh, ok, break down a couple boxes, there's enough. And it's sweltering. Checking...yep. 10:30 and 90 degrees. I've been in Tucson in August...Phoenix in June. Yuma in June or July...on an army base. Day started at 6:30, ended at, IIRC, 2 or 3. It was simply impossibly hot for outdoor, safe, physical activity. We just get hot...*rarely* top 105, I'd say. 104 was apparently a record for the date. Yeah, I can't see Arizona. 115 is just too much. The worst surprise was the northern part of the Central Valley one summer. Redding, Red Bluff, up that way. 110 for about a week...and for the week or so before that, but that was before I arrived. The geography just turns it into a heat trap. Could be worse. 1700 deaths attributed to the heat in Spain and Portugal. Fires in France...presumably everything drying out from the heat, making fires easier to start and allowing them to spread a lot more. This even became part of the Tour de France reporting on...Sunday, IIRC. And good gosh...forecast for 104 in England...???
  6. I reject this because the assertion that it's an outside entity is false, in practice. On paper, yes, they're separate. In reality...not even close. Booster clubs buy access...many, if not most, big programs host a weekly lunch with the head coach. Organized at least in cooperation with the football program. Special events, player access...all facilitated by the school, for the boosters. It's also a fiction to assert it's not a recruiting inducement, IMO. How can it not be? A college degree is a pretty consistent path to a better overall income. The downside is often that student loan debt is a big problem. Yeah, well, full ride scholarship blows away the loans...but that's a given. On top of that? $25K isn't chump change. And as you point out, this was the first offer, if you will. It set the floor. This story's from 2018, but it should still be on point overall: https://www.forbes.com/sites/chrissmith/2018/09/11/college-footballs-most-valuable-teams/?sh=4656c46b6c64 For these programs, going to $50K per player wouldn't even be noticeable. How can the promise of $50K per year NOT be a recruiting inducement? You've got the nebulous value of the coach, his ability to bring out your talent, what your education is worth, at school A versus school B...versus 200-300K *in your pocket*. And not just out of high school. Given the current transfer free-for-all, schools with honkin' big NIL backing don't *need* to recruit transfers, the money will do it for them. It'll be like MLB's haves versus have-nots at the trade deadline...let the little fish find the gems that were missed, then swallow them up.
  7. That's from World Athletics. Moronic argument, IMO. Utterly moronic. If they have all the tricks to tag timing THIS close, then a clear, true false start is clearly identifiable. Bob Beamon blew the long jump record out of the solar system in Mexico City...in 8 years prior, a new record was set 8 times. The total improvement was 8 inches. Beamon's was 22 inches longer. I don't normally consider sprinting an aesthetic activity, but Michael Johnson's amazing gold medal in Atlanta was one. Smooth, effortless, and amazing. Knocked .32 seconds off, in an event where hundredths matter. Usain Bolt has run the 100 .16 seconds faster than anyone else, ever. The record dropped a total of .15 seconds between '88 and '06. The logic of this rule escapes me, but even if we concede there is a case...you DON'T run it that close to the vest. The story points out that 2 other runners' reactions were .109 and .108...so .1 is just too tight, in view of the incredible improvements made in athletic training that goes on, for ALL athletes. There will ALWAYS be those rare, unforeseeable, amazing athletes that blow "standard" out of the water.
  8. (Just gotta get used to it) We all get it in the end (Just gotta get used to it) We go down and we come up again (Just gotta get used to it) You irritate me my friend (This is no social crisis) This is you having fun (No crisis) Getting burned by the sun (This is true) This is no social crisis Just another tricky day for you
  9. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/treatments-for-severe-illness.html#:~:text=Most people with COVID-19,to help you feel better.
  10. 6 o'clock. Oh, mail's in. Amazon package. Yeah, lemme grab it...nothing overwhelming but useful.... <opens front door> OK, not there... <gets shades, steps into the sun> what the heck am i doing out here......................... 104. To quote Margaret Hamilton....."I'm MELTINNNNGGGGG................."
  11. Healing is an adjustment power. To OP: far as I'm concerned, what this is attempting to do is sidestep Decreased Re-Use Duration...cheaper. DRD for 20 minutes is a +3/4; HD says this DoT is only +1/4. And it allows the healer to be separate from the target, and only pay END once. That alone bounces it; DRD is the clearly preferred method. When you try an oddball build ONLY to sidestep the direct method for cheaper? No. Logistically, my example also points out that DoT isn't Trigger. The power's applied after the first attack, it heals all the damage. There's nothing left over. 30 minutes later, take 9...well, that won't be healed until the next time increment, which is 10 minutes away. You can argue that this reduces the effectiveness...true...but the counterbalance is that the healer might well be gone in any case. I'll grant that I hate DoT. It's a very awkward construct that IMO has a place, modeling certain specific effects...but that doesn't mean it's one that should be considered for Anything I Want To Apply It To. It's NOT effect, it's damage over time...that's clearly embodied in the fact that "target's defenses only apply the first time" is a major cost adjustment. Defenses don't apply to beneficial effects. And hey...there's a big yellow warning sign on DoT...so it seems the designers agree with me, at least to some extent.
  12. This is also going to be the incident that drives the NCAA to try to find a way to contain this. Technically the Matador Club is not part of the university, but the gap between them can only be seen with an electron microscope. Now, whether the NCAA *can* do much about this is debatable at best, and it's not because the NCAA isn't very effective. It isn't but this is just very difficult to limit before you start violating free speech. Maybe drop divisions in basketball. In football, I expect this will just accelerate the power schools splitting off from FBS to form their own self-governing body...and taking the championship, all the major bowls, and even probably half the minor bowls with them.
  13. https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/18/us/5-key-takeaways-uvalde-report-and-video/index.html
  14. The OP clearly DOESN'T accept your interpretation of a cap like that. No, you don't get it. As we beat to death before. And that's the point. This is not the thread to discuss whether the overall active points of an MP should be capped to the same level as most other powers. We did that in in the other thread. Rather than repeat the same points, why not simply put up a link to that thread?
  15. I'm getting OLD. To maximize interest, the MLB draft first round is going on Right Now, with a big crowd at Dodger Stadium. The #1 pick is a 2nd gen...Matt Holliday's kid. He's 18???? DOUBLE CHECK THAT BIRTH CERTIFICATE!!!! He looks 12. Facially, anyway. They've been focusing on a big batch of 2nd gens...3 or 4 of em, in total, that are expected to go VERY high. And the #2 is Andruw Jones' kid. Skinny rail. 6'4", only 180.
  16. Again: we beat that horse to death in the other thread. Leave it there.
  17. Each one gets its own sheet. Does make things a bit of a pain, to be sure. Basically has to be; you can do completely different...everything. That said, especially with 8...I'd be fine if you write up just a few of em. I just wouldn't let you swap to an undefined/partially defined form. But also, if they're all animals, what you can do is to build a core 'character' that you tweak for each form. Whether this'll be all that useful...depends on the animals you're emulating. If you've got a peregrine falcon and a tiger, there's not much they'll have in common. A common limitation related to speech, I suppose, but that seems about it.
  18. 9 wins for the Chiefs? Someone's expecting a pretty major dropoff. And if no Watson, I don't see the Browns managing 5 offhand. But hey, no one will remember bloviations this early. Altho....................did y'all realize that the first camps open TOMORROW?? Rookies report to Bills and Raiders. Several more teams, it's Tuesday. Football isn't supposed to start while the Tour's still going, is it?
  19. A very quick search found this for California: https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/#postvax-status
  20. It's...complicated. So what else is new. This is interesting, tho: https://www.forbes.com/mlb-valuations/list/#tab:overall There's quite a few teams making QUITE a bit of money...Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Seattle, Braves, and Rangers at over $70M in profit, several others over $40M. Some are spenders, who just happen to have a very favorable situation (Atlanta). Some are...tricky places to play, like Texas. That's not a political statement; pitchers hate it there. But some have long been considered...tightwads.
  21. This isn't the problem. Baseball calls it the competitive balance tax. For 2021 it was set at $210M. For 2022, here's the total roster values: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/payroll/ Only 5 teams break $210M. The problem in baseball is at the other end. 8 teams' payrolls are less than $100M; 4 are under $70M. They become de facto farm teams or AAAA teams...their best gets skimmed, whereas the rest of the league uses them as dumping grounds for marginal players. And...ya wanna see why? https://www.statista.com/statistics/193645/revenue-of-major-league-baseball-teams-in-2010/ NOTE: the link says 2010, but the data is from 2021. Dodgers are #1 at $565M; Marlins are HIGHLY unusually low at $96M. (Oakland is 29th at over $200M.) Quite a few of them...KC, Arizona, and Pittsburgh are perhaps the most glaring...are pulling in a boatload...but not spending it. And of course, the massive markets...LA, NY, Chicago, Atlanta, Boston...do pull in FAR more revenue. But still, I think the "small market team" is at least somewhat of a Big Fat Lie. The teams *could* spend a lot more than they do.
  22. 2...the Canyon and the Strip. Been to San Fran, a couple times, but never explicitly went to the Bridge. Oh, no...3. Been to DC and we did go by the Monument. Mmm....we might have driven through Zion on a Road Trip vacation in a motor home we did one time. But that hardly counts, so...I won't. And Disneyland, yes...Disney World, no. Born in SoCal...what's so special about the sign? Dodger Stadium is way cooler. Didn't go to the White House; did get to go into the Capitol. It's much better set up for visitors. So how one counts these is...somewhat up in the air. And we're in a rather big country. I've been in 19 states, not counting Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Washington (just travel connections) but I do count New Jersey. We wen to Atlantic City for an afternoon once...it was on a day off during a business-related trip. I've been to Alaska and Florida, California and Maryland, Alabama (or Texas) and Michigan. I daresay that's more...and covering FAR more area...than most. 7 of these were work-related only; 5 were gaming, like Gen Con and Origins. The advantage of being single...I could do this from time to time. I suspect the percentage of people who can do that, isn't that high.
  23. Kirk was more clown than captain. Sisko wasn't a ship captain; station commander is something quite different. Janeway...heck, even Kirk had more command presence in his little finger than Janeway seemed to show, at least the relatively few Voyager episodes I saw. Other than Picard, I can state with some pride that I watched 1 episode of that CBS ridiculousness, and scrupulously avoided the rest. So Picard wins, and it's absolutely no contest.
  24. Ohhh...ok, I think I deliberately misread that. There's still too many factors that have to align, I think. Have to play Toronto, have to have a worse record. Toronto's in the 6 slot right now. The only teams where this could be a factor would be Tampa Bay, Seattle, Boston, and maybe Cleveland, and it's entirely possible Toronto fades out of the picture. Oh, lemme qualify: if I'm Tampa Bay or Boston? If I still have a bunch of *regular season* games to play in Canada...ohhh yes. That might well be a factor. I'm specifically only addressing the playoffs question. I would be more concerned about the question of why the player has chosen not to be vaccinated. Too often, IMO, it's simply showing a selfishness and immaturity that's a major red flag in my book.
  25. True; from a player's standpoint, getting locked in for that long has some significant downsides. Something like I mentioned, he gets another bite when he's 29. Another 5, maybe 6 year deal, at...what, $40-45M a year at that point? And if he takes a big pay cut when that one's over, he can still probably pull $20M a year. So....yeah, you're probably right. It would've been stupid. I'll still say, the Nats may have burned this bridge down. Accept the point that they're trying to win the PR game with the fans...that darn sure doesn't make ME want to stay.
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